Urner Barry Releases June Emerging Plant Protein Report

According to the latest USDA WASDE, the outlook for 2022/23 U.S. rice this June is for higher beginning and ending stocks. No other changes to the 2022/23 balance sheet were noted for this month. The season average farm price for all rice remains unchanged at $17.80/cwt, up $1.90 year-over-year.

The USDA also noted that despite a slow start to plantings this year in the South because of rain, progress of the 2022/23 crop was reported...

Urner Barry Releases June Soy & Wheat Report

According to the Ukraine Grain Association, grain silos in Ukraine are about half full leading up to this year's harvest, which means crops could be left in the ground if Russia continues blocking ports. Without access to its Black Sea ports, Ukraine would be able to export 20 million tons of grains next year at best. These exports would likely be more sunflower seeds than corn and wheat. Currently, Ukraine is attempting to ship its crop via...

Urner Barry Releases June Pulse Protein Report

Dry bean exports during the current marketing year were at a record low for the first 6 months of the September-February timeframe. Exports are currently averaging 44% below the previous year at 278 million pounds. Historically, the 2021/22 volume is 36% below the 32-year average. Also, the six-month export volume in 2004/05 was the only marketing year that was lower than the current one over the past 32 years.

Although slightly improved from the pandemic-related conditions of 2020, international trade markets remain hindered by port congestion, internal shipping delays, container availability, and trade route challenges stemming from the Russia-Ukraine war. Meanwhile, pea producers in some Russian regions face losing...

NRF Responds to Rising CPI by Urging Administration to Repeal China Tariffs

The National Retail Federation today called on the Biden administration to repeal tariffs on goods from China, citing Consumer Price Index numbers released this morning by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

“This report showing that rampant inflation continues is one more reason for the administration to move quickly to repeal tariffs,” NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay said. “Independent researchers and government agencies agree that ending tariffs is the fastest way to relieve the pressure of higher prices that American businesses, workers and consumers are facing every day...

NCBA Commends Signing of U.S.-Japan Beef Export Agreement

Today, the National Cattlemen’s Beef Association praised the signing of an agreement between the U.S. and Japan to increase the Beef Safeguard Trigger level under the U.S.-Japan Trade Agreement.

“The agreement signed today underscores the importance of the mutually beneficial relationship between U.S. cattle producers and Japanese consumers, and we are hopeful that the improved safeguard will provide greater certainty for all segments of the supply chain. NCBA thanks Ambassador Tai for her continued efforts to reduce trade barriers and expand export opportunities for American cattle producers,” said...

Rich Nelson from Allendale, Inc Weighs in on the Grain Situation

Nearby CBOT corn futures slid to a six-week floor on Tuesday following USDA’s latest Crop Progress report, which indicated that corn plantings were up to 72% complete. The latest figure was below the 5-year average but an impressive catch-up over the past few weeks. 

Despite the progress, the 72% of corn planted as of Sunday, May 22, represented the second slowest pace for that week in over 25 years. On Wednesday, corn futures closed mostly lower but recovered some of their earlier declines. The old crop July contract managed to hold onto a ½ cent gain and ended at $7.72 ¼ a bushel.

The ongoing Russia-Ukraine war has impacted the old-crop outlook due to stalled grain supplies from Ukraine’s Black Sea ports. The trade disruptions have restricted the global supply of grain and energy, exerting additional upward pressure on prices...

Urner Barry Releases May Emerging Plant Protein Report

As of May 23, Canada still holds the top value spot on the sunflower seeds export value chart but a decrease of 44% in value year-over-year was noted. Canada also holds the top value spot for sunflower oil, with an increase of 79% in value compared to a year ago. For rice, Mexico has gained 33% in value year-over-year, remaining in the top spot on the chart this month.

The USDA projects rice exports to total 82.0 million cwt, a decrease of 3.0 million from a year prior. Meanwhile, rice from the U.S. is becoming uncompetitive as prices rise. Imports are expected to total...

Urner Barry Releases May Soy & Wheat Report

In the latest WASDE report, the USDA stated that the outlook for 2022/23 wheat this May is reduced supplies, lower exports, and higher prices. U.S. 2022/23 wheat supplies are projected down 3%, as lower beginning stocks more than offset a larger harvest. All wheat production is estimated at 1,729 million bushels, up 83 million from a year ago. Also, all wheat yield is projected at 46.6 bushels per acre, a slight increase from last year. The USDA's first survey-based forecast for 2022/23 winter wheat production is down 8% from last year, with abandonment for Winter Wheat at the highest level since 2002. However, Spring Wheat production is expected to rebound significantly from last year's drought-reduced Hard Red Spring and Durum crops primarily on return-to-trend yields.

Globally, the 2022/23 wheat outlook is for lower supplies, increased trade, and reduced ending stocks. Production is forecast at 774.8 million tons, 4.5 million lower than a year prior. Reduced production in Ukraine, Australia, and Morocco was partially...

Urner Barry Releases May Pulse Protein Report

For pulses like dry edible beans, prospective area declines are anticipated to continue in 2022. Spring weather is an important factor and is posing threats again this year with dry conditions across several dry bean growing regions. April 2022 marked the seventh month of the 2021/22 dry bean marketing year which began in September 2021 and will end in August. Although planting decisions have been made, a variety of factors can influence the final crop mix well into the spring and early summer.

In addition to dry spring weather, key economic factors affecting reduced dry bean area include surging input costs for items like fuel and fertilizer, and elevated prices for...

Russia Given Authority to Halt Exports Under Executive Order Signed by Putin

On Tuesday, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed an Executive Order allowing Russia to halt exports and eliminate existing contracts for individuals on a forthcoming sanctions list.

Putin has ordered the Russian government to compile a list of sanctions against foreign individuals and companies over the next 10 days. 

The Executive Order was signed "to protect the national interests of the Russian Federation in response to unfriendly actions, which contradict international law, undertaken by the U.S., and joined by other foreign states and international organizations," according to a statement on Russia's presidential... 

Ukraine Formally Closes Four Seaports Under Russian Control 

In a statement released on May 2, Ukraine’s Agriculture Ministry said the country has closed the four seaports of Berdyansk, Mariupol, Skadovsk, and Kherson "until Ukraine regains control” over them.

The ministry explained that the closures have been caused by the “inability to service ships and passengers, cargo, transport, and other related economic activities so as to ensure an adequate level of shipping safety and compliance with international treaties”.

Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine in late February, Russian forces had captured or blockaded some ports, forcing all Ukrakina seaports to indefinitely halt their activities. 

Ukraine is a major exporter of agricultural commodities including grains and vegetable oils. Prior to the conflict, most of Ukraine’s exports were shipped via sea but have since been rerouted to export by train or by its Danube river ports.

On Monday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned that Ukraine could lose tens of millions of tons of grain due to the Russian-controlled Black Sea shipping lanes...

Urner Barry Releases April Emerging Plant Protein Report

As of April 26, Canada holds the top value spot on the sunflower seeds export value chart with a decrease of 47% in value year-over-year. Canada also holds the top value spot for sunflower oil, with an increase of 120% in value compared to a year ago. For rice, Mexico has gained 39% in value year-over-year, remaining in the top spot on the chart this month.

In April, the USDA reported that rice exports remain projected at 86.0 million cwt, more than 8% below a year ago and the smallest since 2000/01. World trade was estimated 1.1 million tons higher at 52.5 million on greater exports by...

Concerns Mount Over Global Cooking Oil Supply As Russia-Ukraine War Continues 

Soybean futures rallied during overnight trading as traders assessed the tight global supply of cooking oils spurred by the ripple effects of the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war.

Combined, Russia and Ukraine account for about 80% of the world’s sunflower oil exports. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has forced buyers to find alternatives to sunflower oil shipments, which have largely been stalled in Black Sea ports.

Port closures and shipping disruptions in the Black Sea region have elevated the prices of competing vegetable oils like palm oil—a common ingredient used in food, cosmetics, and cooking.

Indonesia, the world’s largest exporter of palm oil, announced last week that it will ban shipments of the product beginning April 28 in an effort to curb rising domestic prices...

Urner Barry Releases April Soy & Wheat Report

Besides drought, this past winter season featured notable extremes. In December, multiple severe weather conditions resulted in more than 200 tornadoes. December also ended with wildfires spreading near Boulder, Colorado, after a derecho swept from the east-central Plains into the upper Midwest. A month later, blizzard conditions along the northern Atlantic coast caused the coldest air movement in 4 years across Florida's peninsula.

For 2022, area for all wheat is estimated at 47.4 million acres, a slight increase from 2021. This would represent the fifth lowest all wheat planted area since records began in 1919. At 34.2 million acres, 2022 winter wheat planted area is up 2% from last year but down less than...

CBOT Corn Prices Climb to a Nearly Decade High

CBOT corn futures roared to a nearly decade-high earlier this week as traders assessed ongoing supply concerns and global disruptions precipitated by the Russia-Ukraine war.

On Monday, July corn futures eclipsed $8 per bushel, the highest level since September 2012. July corn was trading at around $6 per bushel towards the beginning of 2022.  

The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has exacerbated upward price pressure for corn, along with many other agricultural commodities. Ukraine is a major exporter of items including wheat and barley. Russia’s largest exports include oil and...

Urner Barry Releases April Pulse Protein Report

The USDA released its Prospective Plantings report on March 31, noting that hopes for drought relief fizzled during the first couple months of 2022. With the generally dry start to the new year, there was little overall change in the western drought depiction. Also, drought coverage across the south continued to climb, reaching 59.2% in March. By March 1, national drought coverage had been greater than 40% for 75 consecutive weeks, a 21st century record.

Besides drought, this past winter season featured notable extremes. In December, multiple severe weather conditions resulted in more than 200 tornadoes. December also ended with...

Urner Barry Releases March Emerging Plant Protein Report

According to the latest USDA WASDE, the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. rice this March is for stable supplies, unchanged domestic use, reduced exports, and higher ending stocks. Projected 2021/22 all rice ending stocks were increased slightly to 34.5 million cwt, 21% lower than last year. The season-average farm price for all rice is forecasted at $15.90/cwt, a $0.20 increase on higher projected U.S. wheat, corn, and soybean prices.

The global rice outlook for 2021/22 is for larger supplies, higher consumption, increased trade, and higher stocks. Rice supplies were raised by 4.9 million tons to 701.6 million, mainly on...

Fertilizer Prices Spike to Record High Amid Ongoing Russia-Ukraine War

According to Green Markets North America Fertilizer Price Index, fertilizer prices last week surged to a record high at 1,248.09. The previous record high was set in 2008 at 932.27, which was influenced by a variety of factors including strong domestic and global demand coupled with low fertilizer inventories. 

Numerous Western sanctions against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine have raised widespread concerns for farmers globally, who must navigate sharply higher input costs in addition to ongoing supply chain issues. 

According to the Observatory of Economic Complexity, Russia was the world's largest fertilizer exporter in 2019, having exported $8.85 billion in fertilizer trade volume that year. In 2019, Brazil was the world’s top importer of fertilizer, followed by India and the United States...

Urner Barry Releases March Soy & Wheat Report

In the latest WASDE report, the USDA stated that the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. wheat this March is lower supplies, unchanged domestic use, reduced exports, and higher ending stocks. Projected 2021/22 ending stocks were raised by 5 million bushels to 653 million, but 23% lower than a year ago. The season-average farm price was raised $0.20 to $7.50/bu based on NASS prices and expectations for prices in the remainder of the marketing year. Despite the sharp increases in futures and cash prices recently, a significant majority of U.S. wheat has already been marketed this year, limiting the season-average farm price increase.

Globally, the 2021/22 wheat outlook is for higher production, decreased trade, lower consumption, and larger ending stocks. The 2021/22 global use forecast was lowered by...

Urner Barry Releases March Pulse Protein Report

On March 1, the USDA reported an average $41.00/cwt for U.S. #1 garbanzo beans which is a slight increase from the previous month. U.S. whole green peas averaged $23.75/cwt as of early March, steady with February’s rates. Prices for yellow peas declined by $0.83 from a month ago, totaling $26.67/cwt.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is stressing an already strained global supply chain and its economic impact is likely to be felt by consumers and manufacturers. While an increase in costs trickles down from producers to consumers, short term consequences have already arrived. Grain markets recently hit...

Canada Raises Tariffs on Russian Goods; Closes Ports to Russian Ships Following Ukraine Invasion

The Canadian government is responding to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine by dropping its Most-Favoured-Nation Tariff (MFN) treatment and closing its ports to Russian ships, a move that will hurt Russia’s pockets.

According to Chrystia Freeland, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance, and the Honourable Mary Ng, Minister of International Trade, Export Promotion, Small Business and Economic Development, Canada has issued the Most-Favoured-Nation Tariff Withdrawal Order (2022-1), removing Russia and Belarus’ MFN treatment, as announced on March 3...

Urner Barry Releases February Emerging Plant Protein Report

In February, the USDA reported that total rice exports are projected at 87.0 million cwt, 1.0 million cwt below the previous forecast and 7% lower than a year earlier. The downward revision was based on monthly U.S. Bureau of the Census trade data through December, shipment and outstanding sales through end-January, and expectations regarding shipments and sales the remainder of the 2021/22 marketing year.

Global rice trade in calendar year 2022 is projected at 50.9 million tons, up about 1.5 million tons from the previous forecast. India and Pakistan accounted for most of the...

Urner Barry Releases February Soy & Wheat Report

In the latest WASDE report, the USDA stated that the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. wheat this February is stable supplies, lower domestic use, reduced exports, and higher ending stocks. Food use was lowered by 3 million bushels to 959 million with durum accounting for the entire reduction. Seed use was revised down 2 million bushels to 64 million based on NASS seed use data for the first two quarters of the marketing year. Projected 2021/22 ending stocks were raised by...

2021 Beef Exports Shatter Previous Records; Pork Export Value Also Reaches New High

U.S. beef exports greatly exceeded previous volume and value records in 2021, surpassing $10 billion for the first time, according to year-end data released by USDA and compiled by the U.S. Meat Export Federation (USMEF). Pork exports finished slightly below the record volume reached in 2020 but set a new value record, topping $8 billion for the first time.

December beef exports totaled 121,429 metric tons (mt), up 1% from a year ago, while value climbed 33% to $991.8 million – the third largest...

Urner Barry Releases February Pulse Protein Report

As of February 8, Ethiopia has bumped China from the top spot of the dried pea export value chart. A 78% increase in value year-over-year was noted for Ethiopia, and China holds the fourth spot with a 51% decrease year-over-year. Meanwhile, Canada holds the first spot for lentils with an 18% increase in value. India is no longer one of the top five countries in the export value chart for lentils, losing the fifth-place spot this month to Peru. Pakistan remains in the first spot for dried chickpea exports for the second consecutive month, with an 18% decrease in value year-over-year.

The USDA reported that U.S. export volume in 2020/21 for chickpeas, dry peas, and lentils varied. Export volume of chickpeas decreased about 15%, for a total of...

Urner Barry Releases January Emerging Plant Protein Report

In January, the USDA reported that total rice exports are projected at 89.0 million cwt, 1.0 million cwt below the previous forecast and 6% lower than a year earlier. This represents the smallest projection since 2017/18. The downward revision was based on monthly U.S. Bureau of the Census trade data through November, shipment and outstanding sales through end-December, and expectations regarding shipments and sales the remainder of the 2021/22 marketing year.

Global rice trade in calendar year 2022 is projected at 49.5 million tons, up about 0.7 million tons from the previous forecast but down 2% from the record a year ago. Over the past month, quotes for Thailand's trading prices for most grades of milled rice were...

Urner Barry Releases January Soy & Wheat Report

In the latest WASDE report, the USDA stated that the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. wheat this January is smaller supplies, reduced domestic use, lower exports, and higher ending stocks. Seed use was unchanged at 66 million bushels, reflecting the latest estimated seed use for winter wheat plantings in the fall of 2021 reported by NASS. Projected ending stocks were raised by 30 million bushels to 628 million, down 26% from last year and the lowest level since 2013/14. The season average farm price was raised $0.10/bu to $7.15/bu based on NASS prices and expectations for prices in the remainder of the marketing year.

Globally, the 2021/22 wheat outlook is for stable supplies, decreased consumption, reduced exports, and increased stocks. Production increases in Argentina and...

Urner Barry Releases January Pulse Protein Report

As of January 11, China remains at the top of the dried pea export value chart. However, a 46% decrease in value year-over-year was noted. Meanwhile, India still holds the fifth-place spot for lentils with a 90% year-over-year decline in value. Pakistan is in the first spot for dried chickpea exports as we enter 2022, with a 13% decrease in value year-over-year.

The USDA reported that the U.S. is a net exporter of dry beans with most of the country's dry bean exports sent to Mexico and Canada. Pinto bean exports in the 2020/21 marketing year grew by...

Urner Barry Releases December Emerging Plant Protein Report

According to the latest USDA WASDE, the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. rice this December is for reduced supplies with unchanged domestic use, slightly lower exports, and fractionally lower ending stocks compared with November. The season-average farm price forecast for all rice is unchanged this month at $14.80/cwt, as an increase to the long grain rice forecast offset a decrease in the medium and short grain price.

The supply and use revisions have resulted in a 2021/22 ending stocks forecast of 34.5 million cwt, down 0.5 million cwt from last month and 21% less than...

Urner Barry Releases December Soy & Wheat Report

As supplies remain tight, weather will play a key role in recovery. Participants are closely monitoring Australia as it is facing record rainfall. This could impact crop quality, putting more pressure on the system. Approximately 45% of vital wheat gluten is imported into the United States from Australia and New Zealand, so these weather events could influence planting decisions in the United States.

In the latest WASDE report, the USDA stated that the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. wheat this December is slightly lower supplies, unchanged domestic use, reduced exports, and...

Urner Barry Releases December Pulse Protein Report

According to the USDA's Vegetable and Pulse Outlook, dry bean production in the September 2020 through August 2021 marketing year is down by 31% from a year prior as nearly every dry bean producing state reported production declines. The most significant production declines were within North Dakota, Michigan, and Minnesota. Dry pea, lentil, and chickpea yields were down for the 2020/21 marketing year due to drought. Dry pea yield is down 41%, lentil yield is down 47%, large chickpea yield is down 48%, and small chickpea yield is down 57% from 2020.

Also, planted area for dry edible beans declined by 20% from 2020 with planted area levels like the 2017 crop. Pinto, black, and dark red kidneys are each down 19%, and navy beans are down...

Beef + Lamb New Zealand and Silver Fern Farms Collaboration Increases Sales in U.S. Market

Beef + Lamb New Zealand (B+LNZ) and Silver Fern Farms are celebrating another year of successful joint marketing efforts in the United States. The partnership, which included a series of seasonal marketing campaigns, outdoor advertisements and creative brand programs, resulted in significant sales growth and increased awareness.

UK Lamb Could be Shipped to the U.S. in the New Year

Lamb exporters in the UK will have access to the American market – worth an estimated $48.9 million (£37 million) in the first five years of trade – as we head into 2022.

After extensive risk evaluations, US authorities have today removed the small ruminant rule, which was introduced more than 20 years ago banning imports of lamb from countries where scrapie had been identified.

Work has been ongoing to finalise this important piece of legislation in the US, effectively allowing UK processors to be eligible to ship...

Urner Barry Releases November Emerging Plant Protein Report

According to the latest USDA WASDE, the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. rice this November is for increased supplies with higher domestic use, lower exports, and larger ending stocks. Supplies were raised on increased rice production by 3.3 million cwt to 193.8 million cwt. The all-rice yield is projected at a record 7,765 pounds per acre, up 131 pounds from the previous estimate. Record yields are forecast for Arkansas, California, Mississippi, and Missouri.

Harvested area remains estimated at 2.5 million acres, more than 16% below a year ago. All reported states except Texas are estimated to have harvested area below a year earlier. Texas has seen a slight increase of 5% year-over-year. In the Delta, harvested area in Arkansas remains reported at...

Urner Barry Releases November Soy & Wheat Report

This month, the U.S. soybean outlook for 2021/22 is for lower production and exports, and higher ending stocks. Soybean production is forecast at 4.42 billion bushels, down 23 million on lower yields. Lower yields in Indiana, Iowa, Ohio, and Kansas account for most of the change in production. The U.S. season-average soybean price is forecast at $12.10/bu, a decrease of $0.25.

According to the USDA's Crop Progress report, soybean harvest is just about on par with the five-year average rate at 87% completion. Minnesota reported that...

Urner Barry Releases November Pulse Protein Report

On November 2, the USDA reported an average $42.00/cwt for U.S. #1 garbanzo beans compared to $52.00/cwt at the end of October. U.S. whole green peas averaged $25.83/cwt as of end-October, a slight increase of $0.83/cwt as of end-September. Prices for yellow peas remain steady at $30.00/cwt.

Government efforts to curb energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions, along with surging coal prices, are leading to outages across many of China's manufacturing hubs. Over the past week, local officials have forced factories in China to curtail operating hours or...

Urner Barry Releases October Emerging Plant Protein Report

According to the latest USDA WASDE, the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. rice this October is for reduced supplies with lower domestic use, unchanged exports, and smaller ending stocks. Supplies were reduced on lower projected imports that more than offset minimally higher production. NASS increased the average all rice yield by 2 pounds per acre, to 7,625 pounds. Total domestic and residual use was decreased by 1.0 million cwt to 146.0 million on lower supplies, and ending stocks were reduced to 33.2 million cwt, down 1.0 million. The season-average farm price for all rice remains unchanged at $14.80/cwt.

Persistent rainfall across the southern United States this spring delayed rice planting and field operations, which has led to slightly slower than average harvest pace to date. For the week ending October 3...

Urner Barry Releases October Soy & Wheat Report

In the latest WASDE report, the USDA stated that the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. wheat this October is reduced supplies, lower domestic use, unchanged exports, and decreased ending stocks. Projected 2021/22 ending stocks were reduced by 35 million bushels to 580 million, which are the lowest U.S. ending stocks since 2007/08. The projected 2021/22 season-average farm price was raised $0.10/bu to $6.70/bu on reported NASS prices to date and price expectations for the remainder of 2021/22.

Soybean supplies for 2021/22 were projected at 4.7 billion bushels, up 145 million on higher production and beginning stocks. With higher crush and unchanged exports, 2021/22 ending stocks were projected...

Urner Barry Releases October Pulse Protein Report

On October 5, the USDA reported an average $51.00/cwt for U.S. #1 garbanzo beans compared to $40.00/cwt at the end of September. U.S. whole green peas averaged $25.00/cwt as of end-September, a slight increase of $0.84/cwt as of end-August. Prices for North American yellow peas saw an increase of $4.17/cwt last month, totaling $28.33/cwt.

After making landfall as a Category 4 hurricane in Louisiana at the end of August before weakening to a tropical storm, Hurricane Ida caused significant damage to oil and gas processing facilities, grain facilities and ports. After a two-week closure, Cargill restarted its Westwego, Louisiana, grain export terminal and unloaded its first grain barge. Also, power was restored to Cargill's heavily damaged terminal in...

Urner Barry Releases September Emerging Plant Protein Report

According to the latest USDA WASDE, the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. rice this September is for reduced supplies along with lower domestic use, unchanged exports, and smaller ending stocks. Supplies were mostly reduced on smaller production, as NASS lowered 2021/22 rice production by 6.9 million cwt to 190.5 million on decreased harvest area offsetting higher yield. The all rice yield is 7,623 pounds per acre, up 79 pounds from the previous forecast, and the third highest on record. Projected 2021/22 all rice ending stocks were reduced by 3.1 million cwt to 34.2 million, down 22% from a year ago. The all rice season average farm price for 2021/22 has increased $0.10/cwt to $14.50/cwt.

Persistent rainfall across the southern United States this spring delayed rice planting and field operations, which has led to slightly slower than average harvest pace to date. For the week ending September 5, 28% of the U.S. 2021/22 rice crop was reported harvested, 3% above...

Urner Barry Releases September Soy & Wheat Report

According to the latest USDA WASDE, the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. wheat this September is for reduced supplies and slightly higher domestic use with decreased imports. Projected 2021/22 ending stocks were reduced 12 million bushels to 615 million and are 27% below last year, the lowest in eight years. Also, the projected 2021/22 season-average farm price is lowered $0.10/bu to $6.60/bu on reported NASS prices to date and price expectations for the remainder of the crop season.

Globally, wheat supplies are projected to increase by 7.1 million tons for a total of 1,072.8 million. This increase is due to a combination of larger beginning stocks for Canada, the European Union, and India, with higher production for...

ANALYSIS: July Turkey Exports: Less Is More

As our day-to-day market canvassing efforts have suggested, July’s turkey export figures were a mixed bag with some countries increasing...

Urner Barry Releases September Pulse Protein Report

On September 7, the USDA reported an average $40.00/cwt for U.S. #1 garbanzo beans compared to $36.00/cwt at the end of July. U.S. whole green peas averaged $23.00/cwt as of mid-August, an increase of $3.00/cwt as of end-July. Prices for North American yellow peas saw a slight decrease in the last month, totaling $24.16/cwt.

Hurricane Ida made landfall as a Category 4 hurricane near Port Fourchon, Louisiana on August 29, before weakening to a tropical storm. Energy companies began evaluation of facilities hit by the storm last week, as widespread power outages and...

Record Value for July Beef Exports; Pork Value also Strong

U.S. beef exports set another new value record in July, according to data released by USDA and compiled by the U.S. Meat Export Federation (USMEF). July export value climbed 45% from a year ago to $939.1 million, while volume was the third largest of the post-BSE era at 122,743 metric tons (mt), up 14% year-over-year.

For January through July, beef exports increased 18% from a year ago to 822,830 mt, with value up 30% to $5.58 billion. Compared to the pace established in 2018, the record year for...

Traders Assess Suspension of Brazilian Beef Exports to China Due to BSE

Over the weekend, the agriculture ministry reported that Brazil has suspended beef exports to China after confirming two cases of “atypical” bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) in two domestic meat plants. BSE, also referred to as mad cow disease, is a fatal neurodegenerative disease of cattle that is transmitted through contaminated feed. The two cases recently confirmed in Brazil were “atypical” since the disease appeared “spontaneously and sporadically, unrelated to the ingestion of contaminated food”, according to the agriculture ministry. 

It is not yet certain when Brazilian beef exports to China will resume. The ministry stated there was no risk to animal or human health.

BSE was first diagnosed in 1986 in the United Kingdom and has since been detected in other countries. The first known case of BSE in the United States occurred in 2003 and resulted in the loss of most of the United States’ beef exports in 2004. 

Brazil was the world's largest beef exporter in 2020. The indefinite suspension of Brazilian beef exports to China could be supportive of U.S. beef exports if the ban is not resolved quickly...

ANALYSIS: The Impact of Labor Issues on Hams

Ever since the first COVID-19 shutdowns, labor-related conversion issues have plagued the US ham market. As more and more bone-in hams couldn’t be...

Beef Quarterly Q3 2021: Déjà Vu Argentina

In May this year, the Argentine government imposed a 30-day suspension on beef exports. After those 30 days, new limitations were placed on the volume and type of beef that could be exported. In our feature article, we look at what impact this will have on the Argentine beef industry and the global market.

Covid-19

Global confirmed case numbers began rising again in mid-June, after falling from a peak in late April. Numbers in Europe, the Eastern Mediterranean region, Africa, and the Western Pacific region have seen large rises. Food retail figures remain strong, and foodservice sales were still...

U.S. Poultry and Egg Exports Surged in First Half, on Pace for Record Year

The Covid-19 pandemic, an uncertain economy, and logistics problems like port closings and shipping bottlenecks haven’t slowed the tremendous demand for U.S. poultry and eggs around the world.

Exports of U.S. broiler chicken and shell eggs set records in the first half of 2021 and are on pace to break all-time marks for the year, according to the USA Poultry & Egg Export Council (USAPEEC), citing government trade data.

Total broiler export volume reached an all-time high for the January through June period, with Mexico, China, Cuba, and Philippines leading the way. Cuba, and Philippines set records for both...

ANALYSIS: July Pork in Cold Storage Breakdown

July’s USDA Cold Storage report, released on August 23^rd, showed that while progress was made in restocking the freezers for a couple of categories of cuts, there are still...

Urner Barry Releases August Emerging Plant Protein Report

According to the latest USDA WASDE, the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. rice this August is for reduced supplies along with lower domestic use, higher exports, and smaller ending stocks. All rice production was reduced by 2.0 million cwt to 197.4 million, all on lower yields. The all rice yield is 7,544 pounds per acre and is down 76 pounds from the previous forecast. Projected 2021/22 all rice ending stocks were reduced by 4.0 million cwt to 37.3 million, down 15% from a year ago. The all rice season average farm price for 2021/22 has increased $0.10 per cwt to $14.50.

According to the USDA's Rice Outlook for August, persistent rainfall across the South continues to delay crop progress, field operations, and harvest in much of the region. For the week ending August 8, 74% of the U.S. 2021/22 rice crop was reported...

Urner Barry Releases August Soy & Wheat Report 

Within North America, the bulk of soybean production occurs in the plains regions of the Midwest. The top soy producing states are Illinois, Iowa, and Minnesota, respectively. Kansas overwhelmingly leads nationally in all wheat production, followed by North Dakota and Montana.

According to the latest USDA WASDE, the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. wheat this August is for reduced supplies and lower domestic use with unchanged exports and...

ANALYSIS: Chicken Exports: It’s A Matter of Perspective

With June’s export figures hot off the press, players are turning to the charts as they reflect on the conclusion of Q2...

ANALYSIS: June Turkey Exports Run the Gamut

Although four of our largest trade partners continue to display encouraging year-over-year (YoY) advancements in both volume and value, the most recent monthly data through the end of June was a little more mixed...

U.S. Beef and Pork Exports on Record Pace through June

U.S. red meat exports closed the first half of the year on a strong note, according to data released by USDA and compiled by the U.S. Meat Export Federation (USMEF). Although volume and value eased from the enormous totals posted in April and May, export value was still the highest on record for the month of June and first-half shipments established a record pace for both beef and pork exports.

“USMEF had expected a continued strong performance in June for both beef and pork exports, despite significant headwinds,” said...

Retail Cargo Expected to Set Record in August as Merchants Move from Back-to-School to Holiday Prep

Imports at the nation’s largest retail container ports should hit yet another record in August as consumer demand continues to stretch supply chains and retailers shift from the back-to-school season to the peak shipping season for winter holiday merchandise, according to the monthly Global Port Tracker report released by the National Retail Federation and Hackett Associates.

“Back-to-school supplies have been hit by the same supply chain disruptions and port congestion that have affected"...

Study Shows How Corn and Soybean Producers Benefit from U.S. Red Meat Exports

U.S. beef and pork exports brought critical returns to the corn and soybean industries in 2020, according to an independent study conducted by World Perspectives, Inc. and released by the U.S. Meat Export Federation (USMEF). According to the study, U.S. beef and pork exports added 41 cents per bushel to the value of corn and $1.06 per bushel to soybeans in 2020.

“As the study indicates, my farm gains from red meat exports in the price of every acre of crops that we grow,” says...

Urner Barry Releases August Pulse Protein Report

On August 2, the USDA reported an average $35.00/cwt for U.S. #1 garbanzo beans compared to $34.00/cwt at the end of June. U.S. whole green peas averaged $15.00/cwt as of mid-July, an increase of $0.80/cwt as of end-June. Prices for North American yellow peas have continued to rise, with the USDA reporting an increase of $2.30/cwt from mid-July, totaling $18.10/cwt.

Also, the Food and Agriculture Organization reported that the FAO Food Price Index averaged 124.6 points in June, down 3.2 points from May, but still 33.9% higher than...

ANALYSIS: Cash Hog Prices Decline from Summer Peak But Remain Well Above Year Ago Levels

The summer peak for negotiated cash hog prices on a national basis was achieved on June 22 at $128.04/cwt. Since peaking, spot prices have since declined by around...

Pork Quarterly Q3 2021: Looking for Growth Amid Uncertainties

Great volatility in Chinese hog and pork prices is rippling through the global market. China’s slaughter rates were unexpectedly high in Q2, pushing pork production up 35.9% YOY in 1H, according to official data. The sudden supply increase resulted in a sharp price decline and negative results in both farming and trading in 1H, pointing to low pork imports into China in Q3. While we expect hog and pork prices to rebound in Q3, the estimated high frozen pork inventory will impose a lot of downward pressure on prices. We expect the slowdown of imports in the coming months will reduce full year imports from 2020’s record levels by 10% to 20%. This will lead to a redistribution of pork trade in the global market and could place downward pressure on pork prices in exporting regions.

Urner Barry Releases July Emerging Plant Protein Report

According to the latest USDA WASDE, the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. rice this July is for slightly larger supplies along with lower domestic use, higher exports, and larger ending stocks. All rice production was reduced 2% to 199.3 million cwt. NASS reported that the severe drought in California reduced medium and short grain area. The all rice yield was also lowered based on...