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This Week in Retail: Looking Ahead to Father’s Day Spending

Father’s Day is coming up on Sunday, June 16th, and retailers are prepping for the second big grilling holiday of the summer.

According to the National Retail Federation, Father’s Day spending in 2019 is expected to reach an all-time high of $16 billion. That’s up from last year’s $15.3 billion. This monumental spending figure still, however, pales in comparison to spending for Mother’s Day, coming in at a whopping $25 billion.

Mother’s Day has long been known as a foodservice holiday, but Father’s Day tends to favor grilling at home with some quality steaks, burgers, chops or ribs. The NRF also reports that spending for Father’s Day has grown 70 percent over the last decade, with special outings playing a big part of that growth, accounting for a projected $3.3 billion. With 76 percent of...

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Jun 7 8:14 AM, UB Newswires



This Week in Retail: The Memorial Day Rundown

It’s finally here, the unofficial start to summer and the very official start to the grilling season. In the week leading up to Memorial Day weekend, the beef category claims the top spot for protein feature volume at 27 percent, followed by seafood at just under 26 percent.

Chicken managed to knock out pork for the number three spot with 22.5 percent of ad space, leaving pork with 18 percent. Cheaper grilling items like thighs and drumsticks helped boost chicken featuring volume this week. Meanwhile, the beef segment presents the ultimate showdown between ground beef and steak. In the pork complex, we see an increase in pork chop featuring, up nearly 8 percent week over week.

Taking a closer look at the beef complex, Urner Barry’s weekly retail beef index is right on par with the 3-year average at $5.85 per pound. This is down from the previous week’s index of $6.47 per pound. Ground beef features are modestly lower year over year at an average...

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May 24 8:35 AM, UB Newswires


This Week in Retail: Grocery Outlook for May—Beef, Chicken Steal the Show

It’s finally here—the month that unofficially kicks off the summer grilling season and features several retail buying occasions to boost spending.

May brings about warmer weather conducive to grilling activities, along with graduation parties, Mother’s Day and, of course, the big kahuna—Memorial Day. Healthy demand on the wholesale side has already been evident for some time as packers and processors prepare for retail and foodservice needs.

Mother’s Day is well known to be a foodservice holiday, but increasingly, the grocery segment has managed to compete with foodservice through convenience offerings like prepared foods, meal kits, catering, and deli. And, with the cost of food away from home growing at a faster rate than that of... 

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May 10 8:35 AM, UB Newswires


This Week in Retail: Warmer Weekend Forecast Beckons Grillers, Retailers Promote Accordingly

While much of the Midwest remains somewhat stuck in winter (our condolences), temperatures elsewhere in the U.S. are starting to feel more like spring—and that means grilling season is almost here.

Both coasts, parts of the Northeast, and much of the Southeast looks to be thawing out with average temperatures this weekend expected to be 60 degrees and above. Hints of spring result in many consumers dusting off the grill and heading to grocery stores to procure their favorite proteins—and grocers are more than happy to answer the call.   

Ground beef feature volume soared this week, claiming nearly 30 percent of beef ad space versus just 16 percent the week prior. Steak features are also higher week over week, accounting for...

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Mar 29 10:54 AM, UB Newswires


ANALYSIS: Ground Beef Pricing

Ground beef represents almost half of the beef consumption in the U.S. COMTELL tracks wholesale prices, along with everyday and retail ad prices for the category from a variety of sources. Wholesale ground beef values tend to be more volatile while... 

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Mar 21 10:02 AM, Urner Barry


This Week in Retail: Fall Transition Pace to Quicken Into October

The seasonal transition in retail meat and poultry features typically quickens considerably during October as cooler fall temperatures begin to dominate the majority of the nation.

The change in focus from grilling cuts to more roasts has been underway for a few weeks but will become even more evident in the weekly advertisements ahead. Portions of the upper Midwest are approaching the first frost of the season and have come close to that already this week.

The cooler temperatures are forecast to move eastward across the Ohio Valley as the week draws to a close, according...

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Sep 27 10:06 AM, UB Newswires


This Week in Retail: September Support for the Meat Case

Post-Labor Day, the retail landscape undergoes a gradual transition from summer themes to cooler weather cooking. However, while the heat lingers in many parts of the country this month, grilling cuts manage to hold onto their spots in the meat case alongside returning fall favorites.

It’s really an ideal time for the protein industry, with converging seasons supporting consumer purchases of a wide range of products. In addition, the National Football League kicks off today! Football season initiates a whole new slew of reasons for consumers to get together and eat—indulging in often protein-eccentric meal items like wings, burgers, sausage, hot dogs, ribs, tacos and more.

For game time this week, we have chicken wings on feature for $2.46 per pound, which is down 12.8 percent from a year ago at this time. Wholesale wing prices have fallen 36 percent this year, allowing for retailers and foodservice to offer attractive promotions. In addition, boneless breasts are also at record lows, which means... 

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Sep 7 12:21 AM, UB Newswires


This Week in Retail: Ad Rundown for Labor Day

Labor Day weekend is here, and the retail segment is offering up features prime for grilling.

Beef leads the protein pack with 26.5 percent of total feature volume, followed by seafood with 25.8 percent. Chicken beats out pork for the third spot, with 20.9 percent. Pork claimed 19.8 percent.

In the beef complex, 80 percent lean ground beef is on feature for an average $3.16 per pound, which down from $3.77 per pound last year. Top round London Broil, a popular grilling item, is featured at $4.54 per pound, over a dollar more per pound compared to a year ago. Ad prices in the steak complex overall average nearly on par with last year at this time. Lower YOY features are seen on boneless strip steaks at $8.28 per pound, porterhouse at $7.47, top round at $4.20, and top sirloin steaks at $5.18 per pound.

From the seafood counter, feature volume for shrimp and shellfish are up over last week, though... 

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Aug 31 12:20 AM, UB Newswires


This Week in Retail: The Lead-Up to Labor Day

Labor Day weekend is just two weeks away (yes, you read that correctly, only two weeks!) and grocers are gearing up for the last hoorah of the summer season.

The bulk of purchasing for Labor Day is already completed, and the meat case along with the prepared foods section is expected to perform well over the holiday with many popular grilling items featured below year ago levels.

Ground beef in particular should get notable circular attention in the lead-up to Labor Day. In 2017, there were nearly 10,000 fresh ground beef buying opportunities in the final week of August, up about 1,000 from the previous week. Total ground beef buying opps in August 2017 were 38,680. So far in 2018, August has recorded 19,829 ground beef buying opps, with two full weeks left in the month—one of them being the buying week for Labor Day.

Currently, 80% lean ground beef averages $3.09 per pound, down a notable 13 percent from...

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Aug 17 8:29 AM, UB Newswires


This Week in Retail: Outlook for August

The dog days of summer are upon us. The month of August at retail brings a unique set of circumstances that affect the way grocers market and manage the meat case. This week in retail, we examine the underlying factors that impact the retail meat landscape this month.   

Currently, wholesale beef prices are nearly steady with a year ago, though had trended at a notable discount to 2017 levels from May to about mid-July. Seasonally, the wholesale Choice beef cutout has fallen an average of 4 percent during the month of August when we look at the 3-year average. The seasonal downtrend typically starts in June and declines into September. This is a result of high production levels that occur during the summer months. In fact, the month of August has been the top beef production month of the year for the past two consecutive years. Monthly cattle slaughter figures in August 2017 hit an impressive 5-year high.

With ample product coming onto market, retailers have every opportunity to feature beef at attractive price points.  Looking at the 3-year average of the retail beef feature index, prices have slid an average...

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Aug 3 6:17 AM, UB Newswires


This Week in Retail: Chicken, Chops, and Burgers—Who Wins This Grilling Season?

This week in retail, we compare like-items for grilling to see how competing proteins stack up.

When we look at the retail feature indices for overall protein categories, we see a notable spread between beef, chicken and pork values. Urner Barry’s Weekly Retail Index for Beef is currently $5.85 per pound, while pork is $3.53 per pound and chicken is $2.72 per pound. That puts beef at a 6.5 percent premium to pork, and an 11.5 percent increase over chicken—overall. However, when we isolate like-items used commonly in summer grilling applications, the results tell a slightly different story...

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Jul 27 8:38 AM, UB Newswires


Grilling for July 4th More Affordable This Year

A cookout of Americans’ favorite foods for the Fourth of July, including hot dogs, cheeseburgers, pork spare ribs, potato salad, baked beans, lemonade and chocolate milk, will cost slightly less this year, coming in at less than $6 per person, says the American Farm Bureau Federation.

Farm Bureau’s informal survey reveals the average cost of a summer cookout for 10 people is $55.07, or $5.51 per person. The cost for the cookout is down slightly (less than 1 percent) from last year.

“This is a very tough time for farmers and ranchers due to low prices across the board. It is appropriate that this very painful situation hitting farmers be reflected at the retail level as well,” said AFBF Director of Market Intelligence Dr. John Newton. “We are seeing record meat and dairy production in 2018 so that has also influenced retail prices and so, for consumers, this year’s Fourth of July...

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Jul 3 1:53 PM, General News


This Week in Retail: Overview of Features for the Fourth

July Fourth—celebrating freedom, fireworks, and food.

The holiday weekend is nearly here. Despite a midweek Independence Day this year, which could damper the extent of celebrations and cookouts on the holiday itself, the weekend forecast looks prime for grilling and festivities.

For the current week, beef features are unsurprisingly leading the pack with 28 percent of total protein feature volume. Seafood comes in second with 24 percent, followed by pork with nearly 22 percent. Chicken ads claim 19 percent of total feature volume.

In the beef complex, steak features account for 52 percent of featuring, while fresh ground features make up 25 percent. Urner Barry’s Weekly Retail Feature Beef Index shows current feature prices are, on average, down 4 percent from a year ago. The fresh ground beef category is currently 15 percent lower compared to a year ago. 80% lean features are... 

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Jun 29 8:33 AM, UB Newswires


Grilling for July 4th More Affordable This Year

A cookout of Americans’ favorite foods for the Fourth of July, including hot dogs, cheeseburgers, pork spare ribs, potato salad, baked beans, lemonade and chocolate milk, will cost slightly less this year, coming in at less than $6 per person, says the American Farm Bureau Federation.

Farm Bureau’s informal survey reveals the average cost of a summer cookout for 10 people is $55.07, or $5.51 per person. The cost for the cookout is down slightly (less than 1 percent) from last year.

“This is a very tough time for farmers and ranchers due to low prices across the board. It is appropriate that this very painful situation hitting farmers be reflected at the retail level as well,” said AFBF Director of Market Intelligence Dr. John Newton. “We are seeing record meat and dairy production in 2018 so that has also influenced retail prices and so...

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Jun 26 9:20 AM, General News




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