CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor Shows Sales Grew in March As Tax Refunds Offset Rising Gas Prices

Retail sales rose again in March as consumers received higher-than-usual tax refunds that made up for increased gasoline prices, according to the CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor, powered by Affinity Solutions, released today [April 14, 2026] by NRF.

“Retail sales grew for a sixth consecutive month in March as the first wave of tax refunds offset higher gas prices resulting from the conflict in the Middle East,” NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay said. “Despite record low consumer sentiment and the...

Day 42 of Iran War: Pakistan to Host US-Iran Talks as Fragile Ceasefire Stirs Regional Tensions

A ceasefire between the United States and Iran, brokered by Pakistan, is underway, though uncertainty over its scope is fueling tensions across the region.

Pakistan is set to host talks between US and Iranian officials this weekend as both sides seek to stabilize the agreement.

Gulf states are working to contain the fallout from the war. Britain’s Prime Minister Keir Starmer called for the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and reaffirmed support for regional allies.

US President Donald Trump said American...

Day 27 of Iran War: Trump Asserts Talks Underway as War Continues

The US-Israeli war on Iran shows no sign of abating, with attacks growing more intense even as US President Donald Trump asserts that peace talks are underway, a claim Tehran has denied.

Trump has asserted that Iranian leaders want a deal but fear internal backlash, and the White House has warned it is prepared to “unleash hell” if Iran refuses a resolution.

Markets continue to react. Oil prices are climbing once more amid fading hopes of de-escalation, while analysts warn the war could disrupt global...

Day 25 of Iran War: Trump Claims Iran Talks; Tehran Denies as Attacks Escalate

The US–Israeli war on Iran entered its 25th day on Tuesday amid conflicting signals on diplomacy.

US President Donald Trump said Washington is in talks with Tehran and hinted at a broader deal, but Iranian officials denied this, accusing the US of stalling while reinforcing its military presence.

Trump delayed planned strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure by five days. Meanwhile, fighting continues to escalate. Iran launched new missile attacks on Israel, Gulf states intercepted drones and missiles, and clashes intensified in Lebanon and Iraq.

Iran...

NRF Forecasts 4.4% Annual Retail Sales Growth with New Economic Model

The National Retail Federation today forecast that retail sales in 2026 will grow by 4.4% over 2025 to $5.6 trillion, based on a newly enhanced forecasting approach developed in partnership with Oxford Economics, one of the world’s leading independent economic advisory firms. The announcement was made during NRF’s sixth annual State of Retail & the Consumer virtual event, which examines the health of American consumers and the retail industry.

“Consumer spending was a steady and reliable engine of growth in 2025, even as broader economic conditions fluctuated,” NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay said...

Day 14 of Iran War: US Temporarily Eases Russian Oil Sanctions; Shipping Risks Mount 

Israeli airstrikes have hit Tehran on the 14^th day of the Iran war as Iran and its allies launch retaliatory attacks across Gulf states, sharply escalating tensions across the region and disrupting global energy markets.

Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital route linking the Gulf to the Gulf of Oman, remains severely disrupted.

On Friday, the US issued a 30-day license for countries to buy Russian oil and petroleum products currently stranded at sea. Oil prices eased following the announcement, though prices are...