Middle East Market Intelligence Brief: Week Ending October 23, 2026

Iran has warned that renewed US and Israeli strikes would trigger attacks on American forces, energy facilities, and other infrastructure. The warnings come as stalled negotiations and increased US military deployments raise concerns about renewed fighting.

Washington is moving additional forces to the region while reducing some personnel at risk. Iran has also warned it could target US warships and undersea internet cables near the Strait of Hormuz, where recent attacks have already sunk two vessels.

Escalating Houthi activity near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait has heightened concerns over shipping...

Middle East Market Intelligence Brief: Week Ending October 16, 2026

On Wednesday, two vessels sank near the Strait of Hormuz within 24 hours after being struck by separate projectile strikes. Attacks have intensified over the past 10 days, with Iran citing the US blockade of its ports and tighter sanctions as reasons for escalating strikes.

Amid shipping disruptions and record-high freight costs linked to the Iran war, the Trump administration is considering easing sanctions on shadow-fleet vessels that have transported oil from Russia, Iran, and Venezuela. 

However, the potential move is unlikely to significantly increase vessel availability, analysts say. Many ships still face...

Middle East Market Intelligence Brief: Week Ending September 25, 2026

Saudi, Turkish, and Pakistani military chiefs are set to meet in Saudi Arabia as Riyadh faces renewed Houthi attacks and seeks support under the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement. The talks coincide with US–Iran negotiations in New York over a phased deal linking Iran’s reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to US economic relief.

Both sides are reluctant to give up leverage, while Gulf states push for restored freedom of navigation and an end to escalation. The November 3 US midterms add urgency as disruption to Gulf energy and shipping routes continues...

Day 42 of Iran War: Pakistan to Host US-Iran Talks as Fragile Ceasefire Stirs Regional Tensions

A ceasefire between the United States and Iran, brokered by Pakistan, is underway, though uncertainty over its scope is fueling tensions across the region.

Pakistan is set to host talks between US and Iranian officials this weekend as both sides seek to stabilize the agreement.

Gulf states are working to contain the fallout from the war. Britain’s Prime Minister Keir Starmer called for the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and reaffirmed support for regional allies.

US President Donald Trump said American...