ANALYSIS: UK Cattle Supply Expected to Tighten by 2026

UK cattle supplies are expected to decline further in 2026, influenced by the reduced calf registrations observed in 2024 and 2025. Producer confidence remains mixed due to uncertainties about the industry’s future, impacted by policy changes such as farm payment reforms and potential inheritance tax adjustments. These factors might accelerate culling activities if producers decide to downsize or exit production, potentially affecting prime cattle availability at the beginning of 2026.

Expanding the beef herd requires time to cycle through production, suggesting that supply recovery in 2026 may be limited. Market analysts caution...

ANALYSIS: Tight UK Cattle and Beef Supplies Drives the Market

The UK cattle and beef market has faced tight supplies recently, primarily due to an elevated slaughter rate earlier in 2025. Record-high prices reported in Q2 2025 contributed to a higher-than-usual slaughter rate in the first half of the year. As a result, the number of cattle available for slaughter in the second half of 2025 has become increasingly limited. 

By June 2025, the UK cattle population had fallen to 4.91 million head, representing a 1.4% decrease compared to the previous year. This marks the lowest population recorded by the Department for...

ANALYSIS: Supply Uncertainty Looms Over the UK Beef Market

UK beef production totaled 300,000 tons between January and May 2025, marking a 10,000 tons (3%) decline compared to the same period in 2024, according to the latest data. Monthly output has consistently lagged 2024 levels, underscoring a persistent downward trend and increasing concerns over supply constraints in the second half of 2025.

Despite lower production volumes, slaughter rates remained strong in the first half of 2025. In May, prime cattle slaughter rose by 3% month-on-month to 178,000 head. Market participants suggest this uptick may reflect producers capitalizing on recent strong prices...