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Urner Barry Releases May Soy & Wheat Report

In the latest WASDE report, the USDA stated that the outlook for 2022/23 wheat this May is reduced supplies, lower exports, and higher prices. U.S. 2022/23 wheat supplies are projected down 3%, as lower beginning stocks more than offset a larger harvest. All wheat production is estimated at 1,729 million bushels, up 83 million from a year ago. Also, all wheat yield is projected at 46.6 bushels per acre, a slight increase from last year. The USDA's first survey-based forecast for 2022/23 winter wheat production is down 8% from last year, with abandonment for Winter Wheat at the highest level since 2002. However, Spring Wheat production is expected to rebound significantly from last year's drought-reduced Hard Red Spring and Durum crops primarily on return-to-trend yields.

Globally, the 2022/23 wheat outlook is for lower supplies, increased trade, and reduced ending stocks. Production is forecast at 774.8 million tons, 4.5 million lower than a year prior. Reduced production in Ukraine, Australia, and Morocco was partially...

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May 19 8:00 AM, Plant Protein



WASDE Data Shows Lower Projected Corn Crop and Lower U.S. Exports

In the latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report, the USDA's outlook for U.S. feed-grain is for lower production, domestic use, exports and ending stocks, and higher prices. The corn crop is projected at 14.5 billion bushels, which is down 4.3% from last year.  

In a special note, USDA wrote "Russia’s recent military invasion of Ukraine significantly increased the uncertainty of agricultural supply and demand conditions in the region and globally. The May WASDE represents an ongoing assessment of the short-term impacts as a result of this action". 

Total U.S. corn use for the 2022/23 year is expected to decline 2.5% from a year ago due to lower exports and domestic use. Corn used to produce ethanol is unchanged from last year, reflecting expectations of steady U.S. motor gasoline consumption

U.S. corn exports are down 4% in 2022/23 due to lower supplies and strong domestic demand. Despite record exports projected for Argentina and Brazil, a 550-million bushel drop in exports for Ukraine is the main cause for a decline in world trade...

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May 13 8:24 AM, UB Newswires


Urner Barry Releases April Soy & Wheat Report

Besides drought, this past winter season featured notable extremes. In December, multiple severe weather conditions resulted in more than 200 tornadoes. December also ended with wildfires spreading near Boulder, Colorado, after a derecho swept from the east-central Plains into the upper Midwest. A month later, blizzard conditions along the northern Atlantic coast caused the coldest air movement in 4 years across Florida's peninsula.

For 2022, area for all wheat is estimated at 47.4 million acres, a slight increase from 2021. This would represent the fifth lowest all wheat planted area since records began in 1919. At 34.2 million acres, 2022 winter wheat planted area is up 2% from last year but down less than...

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Apr 22 8:00 AM, Plant Protein


Urner Barry Releases March Emerging Plant Protein Report

According to the latest USDA WASDE, the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. rice this March is for stable supplies, unchanged domestic use, reduced exports, and higher ending stocks. Projected 2021/22 all rice ending stocks were increased slightly to 34.5 million cwt, 21% lower than last year. The season-average farm price for all rice is forecasted at $15.90/cwt, a $0.20 increase on higher projected U.S. wheat, corn, and soybean prices.

The global rice outlook for 2021/22 is for larger supplies, higher consumption, increased trade, and higher stocks. Rice supplies were raised by 4.9 million tons to 701.6 million, mainly on...

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Mar 24 8:00 AM, Plant Protein


Urner Barry Releases March Soy & Wheat Report

In the latest WASDE report, the USDA stated that the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. wheat this March is lower supplies, unchanged domestic use, reduced exports, and higher ending stocks. Projected 2021/22 ending stocks were raised by 5 million bushels to 653 million, but 23% lower than a year ago. The season-average farm price was raised $0.20 to $7.50/bu based on NASS prices and expectations for prices in the remainder of the marketing year. Despite the sharp increases in futures and cash prices recently, a significant majority of U.S. wheat has already been marketed this year, limiting the season-average farm price increase.

Globally, the 2021/22 wheat outlook is for higher production, decreased trade, lower consumption, and larger ending stocks. The 2021/22 global use forecast was lowered by...

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Mar 17 7:56 AM, Plant Protein


Urner Barry Releases February Emerging Plant Protein Report

In February, the USDA reported that total rice exports are projected at 87.0 million cwt, 1.0 million cwt below the previous forecast and 7% lower than a year earlier. The downward revision was based on monthly U.S. Bureau of the Census trade data through December, shipment and outstanding sales through end-January, and expectations regarding shipments and sales the remainder of the 2021/22 marketing year.

Global rice trade in calendar year 2022 is projected at 50.9 million tons, up about 1.5 million tons from the previous forecast. India and Pakistan accounted for most of the...

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Feb 24 7:57 AM, Plant Protein


Urner Barry Releases February Soy & Wheat Report

In the latest WASDE report, the USDA stated that the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. wheat this February is stable supplies, lower domestic use, reduced exports, and higher ending stocks. Food use was lowered by 3 million bushels to 959 million with durum accounting for the entire reduction. Seed use was revised down 2 million bushels to 64 million based on NASS seed use data for the first two quarters of the marketing year. Projected 2021/22 ending stocks were raised by...

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Feb 17 8:00 AM, Plant Protein


Urner Barry Releases January Emerging Plant Protein Report

In January, the USDA reported that total rice exports are projected at 89.0 million cwt, 1.0 million cwt below the previous forecast and 6% lower than a year earlier. This represents the smallest projection since 2017/18. The downward revision was based on monthly U.S. Bureau of the Census trade data through November, shipment and outstanding sales through end-December, and expectations regarding shipments and sales the remainder of the 2021/22 marketing year.

Global rice trade in calendar year 2022 is projected at 49.5 million tons, up about 0.7 million tons from the previous forecast but down 2% from the record a year ago. Over the past month, quotes for Thailand's trading prices for most grades of milled rice were...

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Jan 27 8:00 AM, Plant Protein


Urner Barry Releases January Soy & Wheat Report

In the latest WASDE report, the USDA stated that the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. wheat this January is smaller supplies, reduced domestic use, lower exports, and higher ending stocks. Seed use was unchanged at 66 million bushels, reflecting the latest estimated seed use for winter wheat plantings in the fall of 2021 reported by NASS. Projected ending stocks were raised by 30 million bushels to 628 million, down 26% from last year and the lowest level since 2013/14. The season average farm price was raised $0.10/bu to $7.15/bu based on NASS prices and expectations for prices in the remainder of the marketing year.

Globally, the 2021/22 wheat outlook is for stable supplies, decreased consumption, reduced exports, and increased stocks. Production increases in Argentina and...

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Jan 20 7:55 AM, Urner Barry


Urner Barry Releases December Emerging Plant Protein Report

According to the latest USDA WASDE, the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. rice this December is for reduced supplies with unchanged domestic use, slightly lower exports, and fractionally lower ending stocks compared with November. The season-average farm price forecast for all rice is unchanged this month at $14.80/cwt, as an increase to the long grain rice forecast offset a decrease in the medium and short grain price.

The supply and use revisions have resulted in a 2021/22 ending stocks forecast of 34.5 million cwt, down 0.5 million cwt from last month and 21% less than...

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Dec 23 7:50 AM, Plant Protein


Urner Barry Releases December Soy & Wheat Report

As supplies remain tight, weather will play a key role in recovery. Participants are closely monitoring Australia as it is facing record rainfall. This could impact crop quality, putting more pressure on the system. Approximately 45% of vital wheat gluten is imported into the United States from Australia and New Zealand, so these weather events could influence planting decisions in the United States.

In the latest WASDE report, the USDA stated that the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. wheat this December is slightly lower supplies, unchanged domestic use, reduced exports, and...

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Dec 16 8:00 AM, Plant Protein


Urner Barry Releases November Emerging Plant Protein Report

According to the latest USDA WASDE, the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. rice this November is for increased supplies with higher domestic use, lower exports, and larger ending stocks. Supplies were raised on increased rice production by 3.3 million cwt to 193.8 million cwt. The all-rice yield is projected at a record 7,765 pounds per acre, up 131 pounds from the previous estimate. Record yields are forecast for Arkansas, California, Mississippi, and Missouri.

Harvested area remains estimated at 2.5 million acres, more than 16% below a year ago. All reported states except Texas are estimated to have harvested area below a year earlier. Texas has seen a slight increase of 5% year-over-year. In the Delta, harvested area in Arkansas remains reported at...

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Nov 24 11:00 AM, Plant Protein


Urner Barry Releases November Soy & Wheat Report

This month, the U.S. soybean outlook for 2021/22 is for lower production and exports, and higher ending stocks. Soybean production is forecast at 4.42 billion bushels, down 23 million on lower yields. Lower yields in Indiana, Iowa, Ohio, and Kansas account for most of the change in production. The U.S. season-average soybean price is forecast at $12.10/bu, a decrease of $0.25.

According to the USDA's Crop Progress report, soybean harvest is just about on par with the five-year average rate at 87% completion. Minnesota reported that...

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Nov 18 8:00 AM, Plant Protein


WASDE Report Shows Larger Corn Production, Slightly Smaller Stocks

In the latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report, the USDA outlook for U.S. corn calls for larger production, increased ethanol use, and marginally lower ending stocks. Production is forecast at 15.062 billion bushels, up 43 million from last month’s projection on a record high yield.

Exports are raised for Argentina and the EU but lowered for Bangladesh. For 2020/21, corn exports for Argentina are raised but reduced for Brazil for the local marketing year beginning March 2021.

The projected season-average corn price was unchanged at $5.45 per bushel.

CBOT corn futures reacted to the bullish news, gaining approximately 9 to 10 cents per bushel as of writing.

Soybean production was pegged at 4.42 billion bushels, down 23 million due to lower yields. Prices for soybeans were down 25 cents at $12.10 per bushel. Soybean meal and oil prices are unchanged at $325.00 per short ton and 65.0 cents per pound, respectively.

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Nov 10 11:13 AM, UB Newswires


Urner Barry Releases October Emerging Plant Protein Report

According to the latest USDA WASDE, the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. rice this October is for reduced supplies with lower domestic use, unchanged exports, and smaller ending stocks. Supplies were reduced on lower projected imports that more than offset minimally higher production. NASS increased the average all rice yield by 2 pounds per acre, to 7,625 pounds. Total domestic and residual use was decreased by 1.0 million cwt to 146.0 million on lower supplies, and ending stocks were reduced to 33.2 million cwt, down 1.0 million. The season-average farm price for all rice remains unchanged at $14.80/cwt.

Persistent rainfall across the southern United States this spring delayed rice planting and field operations, which has led to slightly slower than average harvest pace to date. For the week ending October 3...

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Oct 21 8:00 AM, Plant Protein


Urner Barry Releases October Soy & Wheat Report

In the latest WASDE report, the USDA stated that the outlook for 2021/22 U.S. wheat this October is reduced supplies, lower domestic use, unchanged exports, and decreased ending stocks. Projected 2021/22 ending stocks were reduced by 35 million bushels to 580 million, which are the lowest U.S. ending stocks since 2007/08. The projected 2021/22 season-average farm price was raised $0.10/bu to $6.70/bu on reported NASS prices to date and price expectations for the remainder of 2021/22.

Soybean supplies for 2021/22 were projected at 4.7 billion bushels, up 145 million on higher production and beginning stocks. With higher crush and unchanged exports, 2021/22 ending stocks were projected...

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Oct 14 8:00 AM, Plant Protein







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