ANALYSIS: Brazilian Fresh Beef Exports Saw a 12.2% Monthly Growth in April, Up 16.3% YoY

The latest data released by Brazil’s Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade, and Services showed that the country’s fresh (chilled and frozen) beef exports recorded strong performance in April, reaching 241,573 metric tons (mt). This marks record high for the month, up 12.2% from March and 16.3% higher compared to the same period last year.

China maintained its position as Brazil's leading trading partner, recording an 11.1% MoM growth to 106,639 mt. This represents a 5.6% YoY increase...

Navigating the Trump Tariff Turbulence: A Comprehensive Timeline

US President Donald Trump and his administration have paused reciprocal tariffs on most countries.

“Based on the lack of respect that China has shown... I am hereby raising the [tariff] charged to China by the [USA] to 125%, effective immediately,” wrote Trump on Truth Social at 1:18 pm ET. 

It’s not clear if this 125% is in addition to the 20% imposed on Chinese imports to the US. In early March, Trump noted that he would add another 10% tariff on Chinese goods...

China, UK Trade Talks Pose Positive Opportunities for US Animal Food Industry

The American Feed Industry Association (AFIA) is pleased to see a cooling of U.S. tariffs on and retaliatory tariffs from China and a proposed trade agreement with the United Kingdom coming to fruition, given discussions late last week and over the weekend between the U.S. and respective countries’ trade officials. Both China and the United Kingdom present valuable opportunities for U.S. animal food manufacturers, which produce some of the safest, highest quality and innovative feed, feed ingredients and pet food globally...

HPAI H5N1 Virus in Dairy Cattle – What We Know

In March 2024, Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) A (H5N1), commonly referred to as bird flu, was confirmed in domestic US livestock for the first time in a dairy operation in Texas. Since then, the virus has spread to 1,053 dairy operations across 17 states, raising widespread uncertainty throughout the dairy and livestock markets. Industry participants have raised concerns about the outbreak's potential impact on consumer perception and demand for dairy and meat products, though government agencies reiterate that the national food supply remains safe. Expana is closely monitoring the situation...

ANALYSIS: US Pork Exports Rebound in March 2025 Amid Trade Headwinds and Tariff Uncertainty

In March 2025, US pork exports demonstrated a series of increases across various regions, with total exports reaching 641,018.50 K lbs—a 13.45% month-over-month (MoM) increase and a 3.06% year-over-year (YoY) gain compared to March 2024. This trend indicated short-term demand, though it comes amid notable trade headwinds.

The industry remained on edge over the looming threat of reciprocal tariffs, scheduled to take effect in early April after being delayed by 30 days to allow additional time for negotiations...

Tariff Talks 2025: Expana's Weekly Rundown #8

Expana’s global team of specialist reporters has been tracking every twist and turn in the fluid tariff situation.

Click to read "Tariff Talks 2025: Expana's Weekly Rundown #8."

This report allows the Expana community to see where key commodity markets stand as of this past week... Click the above PDF report, or keep scrolling to read in plain text...

Dr. Casey Means Appointed to US Surgeon General

On May 8, Dr. Casey Means was appointed to be the next US Surgeon General by US President Trump, after a recommendation from US Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. A forthcoming Senate hearing will occur to vote whether to confirm Means to this position, Expana has reported. 

Means associates diet with the root cause of the “chronic disease epidemic” in America. 

“Metabolic dysfunction is largely not a genetic issue. It’s caused by toxic American ultra-processed industrial food, toxic American chemicals, toxic American medication, and our toxic sedentary indoor lifestyles..."

US Foods Achieves Solid Q1 Results with Gains Across Key Segments

US Foods has released its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, highlighting strong performance driven by a focused strategy and the company's ability to manage controllable factors while adapting to broader macroeconomic conditions.

“During the first quarter we outperformed the industry and again delivered strong profitability, with Adjusted EBITDA growing 9% and Adjusted Diluted EPS increasing 26%, despite the challenging operating environment and weather-related headwinds. Our results speak to the strength of our customer value proposition and relentless execution of our strategy,”...

ANALYSIS: 2025 US Top Sirloin Butt Prices Climb 48% From January Lows

With grilling season approaching and tenderloins, ribeyes, and strips commanding elevated prices, many consumers are turning to more economical alternatives such as the boneless Choice top sirloin butt. Prices for this item are now at record highs for this time of year, currently sitting at $6.12/lb which shows a 35% increase over 2024 levels and a 48% jump from the lows seen in January 2025. When compared to the 3-year average, current pricing is also 36% higher, highlighting just how strong this rally has been...

49th Executive Conference Highlights Resilience and Future Outlook of Animal Protein Sector

This year’s Executive Conference held in Las Vegas from May 5–7 for senior leaders in the animal protein sector, was an informative show of the industry’s and what we can expect from the protein sector in the coming years.  

“We feed the ever-growing needs of the entire population,” said Russ Whitman, Expana’s Director of Market Reporting, in his opening remarks. 

Despite challenges related to animal health, regulatory shifts, and geopolitical tensions, the industry has demonstrated remarkable perseverance. 

ANALYSIS: EU Broiler Market Update - Price Momentum, Production Growth, and Export Potential

The EU broiler market has shown notable price resilience in recent months, as average prices reached EUR 2.88/kg by the end of April 2025. This marks a year-on-year increase of 9.3%, positioning EU broiler prices ahead of those in other major poultry-producing regions such as Brazil and Thailand.

Brazilian broiler prices remain significantly lower, despite modest gains in recent weeks. Current price levels are at approximately EUR 1.5 /kg, highlighting Brazil's continued cost competitiveness in the global poultry market...

ANALYSIS: Uruguay’s Beef Exports Fall in April Amid US Modest Growth and China's Persistent Downturn

According to the latest data from Uruguay’s National Customs Directorate, fresh beef exports totaled 28,142 metric tons (mt) in April. This corresponds to a 6.5% decline compared to March and a 7.0% drop Y-o-Y, reflecting softer demand from the Chinese market, partially offset by modest growth in other regions.

The US remained Uruguay’s top beef export destination after overtaking China two months ago, expanding its share to 41.7% of total volume shipped during April, or 11,723 mt. This represents a modest 2.6% M-o-M increase but a notable 42.6% gain...

ANALYSIS: Chicken Slaughter: A Look at Q1 and What Lies Ahead

The first quarter of 2025 has extended the poultry industry’s trend of constrained production, with slaughter volumes trailing historical norms due to a mix of operational and biological challenges. January began firmly, with federally inspected chicken slaughter reaching 834.3 million head—slightly above both 2024’s level and the historical maximum for the month. However, this strength was not sustained.

February volumes fell sharply to 736.9 million head, reflecting the combined effects of widespread winter storms and plant downtime which limited live bird transport and reduced line schedules...

The Retail Rundown: Grocers Take on Foodservice for a Slice of Mother’s Day Spending

Grocers are gearing up to win a slice of Mother’s Day sales, which are traditionally dominated by restaurants and dining out. While foodservice still captures the lion’s share of spending, supermarkets are making strategic plays to compete for consumers' dollars.

According to the National Retail Federation, Mother’s Day spending is projected to hit $34.1 billion this year—up from $33.5 billion in 2024 and just shy of the 2023 record of $35.7 billion. About 84% of US adults are expected to celebrate, spending an average of $259.04 on gifts and festivities...

Secretary Rollins Requires States to Provide Records on SNAP Benefits

Today, U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Food and Nutrition Service (FNS) will require States to make certain all records associated with Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) benefits and allotments are shared with the federal government.

“President Trump is rightfully requiring the federal government to have access to all programs it funds,” said Secretary Rollins, “and SNAP is no exception. For years, this program has been on autopilot, with no USDA insight into real-time data. The Department is focused on appropriate and lawful participation in SNAP, and today’s request is one of many steps to ensure SNAP is preserved for only those eligible...

ANALYSIS: Chilean Salmon Market and Production Update

In April, the average price for whole fresh Chilean Atlantic farmed salmon 4-5 kg in the United States market ($4.65 lbs. - €9.17 kg) rose by 1.9% month-on-month, amidst a stable whole fish market characterized by adequate supply against moderate demand. Despite the generally stable conditions, the Chilean salmon sector is currently facing instability due to a 10% tariff imposed on its products. This tariff could potentially lower Free on Board (FOB) prices in Chile while increasing consumer prices in the United States, which remains a significant market for Chilean salmon...

ANALYSIS: Mexican Beef Export Trends in Q1 2025

The Mexican beef export market to the US showed mixed trends in the first quarter of 2025, reflecting shifts in trade dynamics. The short period of US tariff imposition on Mexico marked a turning point in market activity, leading some exporters to reduce or suspend shipments while others negotiated agreements to manage the new costs. Exchange rate fluctuations driven by macroeconomic factors initially boosted export incentives but rising domestic demand in Mexico and a stronger peso later shifted the focus to the local market. Feeder cattle exports also saw changes following the November 2024 suspension, with new inspections to monitor cattle health and import viability altering trade flows...

ANALYSIS: Australia’s April 2025 Beef Exports Rebound 18.5% MoM as Cyclone Effects Fade

Australia exported 127,173 metric tons (mt) of beef in April 2025, up 18.5% month-on-month, as shipments rebounded sharply from a weather-disrupted March, according to data from the Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry (DAFF).

Shipments recovered following logistical interruptions caused by Ex-cyclone Alfred, during Australia’s most active tropical cyclone season in two decades. Port closures and road disruptions across Queensland, the country's key processing hub, had weighed heavily...

ANALYSIS: Turkey Harvest Numbers Continue to Fall Below Industry Norms

The 2025 turkey slaughter trajectory is shaping up to be one of the most historically limited starts in recent memory. USDA data shows federally inspected turkey headcounts for January through March averaging just over 14.5 million per month - an 18% drop from the 24-year average and nearly 19% below the 5-year norm. February was especially weak, with only 13.27 million turkeys harvested - the lowest total for that month in over two decades. Notably, each of the first three months of 2025 has tracked below the previous recorded historical low, firmly establishing the year’s limited supply footing...

ANALYSIS: Belly Primal Drives Resurgent Pork Carcass Value in April

According to the Urner Barry by Expana Pork Carcass Cutout Value Report, recent increases in carcass values have mitigated losses incurred since the beginning of April. Currently, weekly carcass values are holding steady at approximately year-over-year levels, exceeding the three-year average by 2.2%. April itself witnessed a modest rebound in overall values following a 3.1% decline during the first two weeks. While this initial drop was significant, it represented a continuation of a gradual downward trend that began in...

ANALYSIS: Squid Market Faces New Crosscurrents Amid Recently Imposed Tariffs

Squid continues its volatile trajectory into 2025, with many of the same challenges persisting and one significant development poised to reshape the broader market landscape.

Supply across most squid species and origins entering the U.S. remains difficult to navigate, a trend that has persisted for some time. Meanwhile, the market continues to show signs of disruption, with sourcing diversification, a long-standing advantage for this wild-caught species, now proving even more critical.

A major turning point came with the introduction of new presidential legislation on April 2, establishing “Liberation Day” tariffs. This policy imposed a blanket 10% tariff on all U.S. imports effective April 5, alongside elevated duties on 57 individual countries...

ANALYSIS: UK Lamb Export Market Update

The latest UK sheep meat export figures released by HM Revenue & Customs show that exports for February 2025 are 3.9% lower y-o-y at 6,165 tonnes. The cumulative January to February 2025 sheep meat exports are 2.2% lower than the same period in 2024.

In February, the top three export locations (France, Germany, Belgium) represent the majority of the decline, while the Netherlands had a 79% y-o-y increase. Despite export quantities declining in the first two months of February, export value is up and shows that there is good demand even with higher prices. Market participants reported last week that lamb exports have supported trade volumes and that prices from the Rungis market have held steady during April...

PODCAST: Agri-Food for Thought Ep 28 - M&A in the Global Agri-Food Industry, April 2025 Overview

Expana presents Agri-Food for Thought, the podcast series for agriculture and food professionals.

M&A in the global agri-food industry is an ongoing and very regular trend. Although many companies are hitting the brakes on M&A as they face tariffs and market uncertainty, hundreds of deals continue to take place each month.

On today's episode of Agri-Food for Thought, we showcase selected mergers and acquisitions in the agri-food sector that took place in April 2025.