COVID-19 Overshadows African Swine Fever, but ASF’s Influence Prevails
African swine fever remains the dominant issue in global animal protein – as it has been since 2018. But COVID-19 further distorts the outlook, constraining production, consumption, and trade.
ASF is still the major influence on global pork markets, and it continues to impact pig herds and restrict pork production in China, Vietnam, the Philippines, and parts of eastern Europe. As Rabobank does not anticipate an effective vaccine against ASF to be commercially available in 2020, biosecurity measures remain the most effective defense.
Herd recovery is underway in China, and has been proceeding faster than expected, but a further significant drop in...
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